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Today’s Best BetToday’s Best Long Shot

Ten races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday for 7+ Sport Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Back Me

12 Kingston Charm (Bet Now: $23.00) looks to be back on track for John Thompson and should take beating here. She ran two weeks ago in the Midway at this track where she had a suck run on the fence but I really liked the way she finished her race off in defeat behind Northern Eyes. Hard fit now and up to the mile, she’s a good each way gamble I say.

Danger

14 Kervette (Bet Now: $9.00) is a mare in ripping form for Kristen Buchanan and has earned a crack at a Midway after winning over the mile on Wyong Cup, getting the suck run off the speed before angling wider, balanced up and was strong late in winning. Harder here, but confident she measures up.

Long Shot

11 El Castello (Bet Now: $3.70) is an Anthony Cummings trained three year old that comes to the Midway off the back of a maiden win at Warwick Farm where he landed on speed and credit to him, he was there to be run down but he found and was too good. Good improvement to come and this isn’t a deep Midway.

Back Me

6 Kreon (Bet Now: $2.70) has got himself into The Kosciuszko and I dare say will use this as a tune up, but it’s not to say he can’t win given his last start at Goulburn, where he led throughout and gapped them by over five lengths, running fast time. Good test here in a strong Highway but off last time, has to be respected.

Danger

2 Perennial (Bet Now: $5.50) resumes for Messara/Gavranich. This guy hasn’t raced since May 27 at Warwick Farm when close up in defeat behind a nice horse, Cinematic Star. Given a good break and his Scone trial alongside Dollar Magic was quite sharp I thought. Keen to see how he goes.

Long Shot

5 She’s Exotic (Bet Now: $3.00) looks a talented short course type for Cody Morgan. This girl is 3/3 to start her career, her latest run coming at Armidale back on May 28 where she led throughout and gave nothing else a look in to win impressively. Liked her recent trial, she has a good racing style and beware the unbeaten horse.

Back Me

6 Bear On The Loose (Bet Now: $2.50) is a very good horse for GaiBott that resumes. He hasn’t raced since July 13 here over 1800m when off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort behind Aramco. He does go well on the fresh side and with a couple of trials under the belt, Nash on, there is intent for mine.

Danger

5 Floating (Bet Now: $13.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness for Matty Smith. He ran two weeks back behind Major Beel where he had a suck run in transit just off the speed before angling for clear air and loomed to win but couldn’t quite finish the job, condition giving way. Hard fit, his best is more than good enough.

Long Shot

3 Junipal (Bet Now: $13.00) is a hard horse to catch but his best is good, certainly good enough to take this out. He ran behind Major Beel a fortnight back at this track/distance. He got back and was held up at times before angling clear and was quite good late. Gee he’d love rain but even on a dry deck, I think he commands respect.

Back Me

14 Pure Alpha (Bet Now: $5.50) is a Chris Waller trained gelding that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since July 20 at Rosehill when ridden with intent to land on speed but he couldn’t quite finish the race off behind Mickey’s Medal and was spelled soon after. Liked his trial work and strikes a winnable race I say.

Danger

1 Hollywood Hero (Bet Now: $13.00) looks to be in for a good prep. Bjorn Baker trained gelding that resumed a fortnight back over 1200m here. He got back to near last in the run and was held up at times before eventually getting clear and was good late in the piece. Fitter and up in trip, hard to beat if he can settle closer.

Long Shot

11 Born With Wings (Bet Now: $51.00) is a very interesting runner. Peter Snowden trained gelding that has his second prep down under. He didn’t fire a shot in the first prep but has been given a good break and I thought his trial here last week was quite good. He’ll be spotting them a start but should be strong at the end.

Back Me

16 Land Legend (Bet Now: $11.00) is a big improver here I dare say. He ran last behind Ceowulf three weeks back at Rosehill and on face value, he was plain, but the race shape and track pattern was against him so forgive and forget. Trial work beforehand was strong and the trial since was good. Not penning him.

Danger

11 Ceowulf (Bet Now: $3.10) is three weeks between runs for Joe Pride since giving them a start and a beating to spank them at Rosehill, letting down with real purpose to win and he won like a future Group l winner. Tick over trial was very good, he’ll love the rise to 2000m…hard to beat.

Long Shot

18 Zardozi (Bet Now: $5.00) is third up from a spell and should be hard fit. She was very plain in the Chelmsford two weeks back. Given every chance by J Mac, she didn’t finish the race off at all and was on the plain side behind Buckaroo. The first up run in the Winx was a beauty and she does have class, so I am not dismissing her.

Back Me

2 Freedom Rally (Bet Now: $10.00) is ticking along beautifully towards the Epsom and is one of the leading contenders. He resumed two weeks ago in the Tramway and although he was a bit one paced when asked for the effort by Williams, he kept on and kept finding the line in a really good effort. Fitter, he appeals.

Danger

4 Tom Kitten (Bet Now: $3.40) looks ready to rock and roll with eyes towards the Epsom. He resumed as a gelding at Rosehiill and gee you had to like the way he knuckle down from off the speed to win and win well. Loved his recent tick over trial, and the stable have been quite adamant that 1400m-1600m is his go in life for this prep. Hard to beat against these.

Long Shot

14 Scarlet Oak (Bet Now: $6.50) is a very good mare I think for Chris Waller. Created such an impression in her opening prep in the Autumn/Winter after arriving from NZ, highlighted by a outstanding win in The Roses. Her trial work to get ready for the return has been very good and 1400m fresh tells me she’s ready to go.

Back Me

6 Autumn Glow… (Bet Now: $2.00) I think good luck beating her. Chris Waller trained filly that is 2/2 to start her career and has been outstanding in both wins, the latest being three weeks ago in the Up And Coming where she gave them a start and a beating and just got better as the race went on. I think she’ll love getting to 1400m at Randwick and for mine, she has lengths on these.

Danger

1 Manaal (Bet Now: $3.60) is the class filly in terms of current runs on the board and did win the key lead up, winning the Furious a fortnight back, aided by a 12/10 by Collett and in a driving go, she was too good in a blanket finish. I think she is the best of that lot and with class on her side, she commands respect.

Long Shot

4 El Morzillo (Bet Now: $18.00) is a filly that has a big engine I say. Can make a case to say she should have won the Furious two weeks back but had zero luck in the straight under Williams, eventually getting clear and was strong late. She’ll eat up 1400m…not sure she beats Autumn Glow but an absolute must for exotics.

Back Me

6 Fangirl (Bet Now: $2.15) could easily explode here and do a number on these. Chris Waller trained mare that resumed in the Winx Stakes where I thought a slightly negative ride from J Mac cost her the win but she was very good late in the piece behind Via Sistina. Tick over trial was a nice day out, she gets dry ground, 1600m…good luck beating her I say.

Danger

9 Zardozi (Bet Now: $11.00) is third up from a spell and should be hard fit. She was very plain in the Chelmsford two weeks back. Given every chance by J Mac, she didn’t finish the race off at all and was on the plain side behind Buckaroo. The first up run in the Winx was a beauty and she does have class, so I am not dismissing her.

Long Shot

8 Hinged (Bet Now: $12.00) is one for exotics. Nash stood over this mare in the Chelmsford two weeks back and she looked the winner but the photo went the way of the Buckaroo, with the mare being in front a stride before and after the post. She has shown signs of life…does she win? No, but can run top four.

Back Me

Going to have a throw at the stumps via 5 Bandi’s Boy (Bet Now: $91.00). He ran two weeks ago in the Concorde where he was back, wide, and in a race dominated by up/in, he was never a winning threat, but did make up ground in a good effort. He’ll get a suck run off the hot speed and be strong late…I don’t think a win would shock at all.

Danger

10 Our Kobison (Bet Now: $17.00) comes here four weeks between runs for Angela Davies since contesting the Show County where he ran an honest race but was clearly no match for Joliestar. He looked to work really well between races at Rosehill last Saturday and he is suited at short course aka 1100m. Knockout hope.

Long Shot

4 Mazu (Bet Now: $9.50) is a Joe Pride trained gelding that resumes and is one of many here looking to impress for The Everest. He didn’t do bad things when last in work, with the highlight being a spank job win in the Hall Mark. He is capable on dry but is much better on wet ground. That said, his trial work has been quite good. Watch the market.

Back Me

7 Raikoke (Bet Now: $27.00) is a big improver I feel for Price/Kent. He resumed a few weeks ago at The Valley where he was wide, on speed and doing work, feeling the pinch to finish down the track and did pull up lame so he had clear excuses. Maps to do no work and his best is certainly good enough.

Danger

3 Moravia (Bet Now: $3.80) is sneaky flying I feel for Michael Freedman. He resumed in the Concorde where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he did find the line quite well late in the piece. Back to this level and up in trip, I say he takes beating.

Long Shot

5 Dalaalaat (Bet Now: $19.00) is three weeks between runs for Nathan Doyle since racing over 1200m at Rosehill where he got back in the run and was held up at times before getting an inside split and savaged the line late, just missing out on the win when a narrow fourth to Fox Fighter. Racing well and on dry ground, commands respect.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 6 Fangirl

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 6 Autumn Glow

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 5 Bandi’s Boy

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 6

Leg Two: 6

Leg Three: 4, 5, 6, 7, 10

Leg Four: 3, 5, 7, 12

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