The 2025 MLB Draft Lottery concluded the evening of Tuesday, December 10th. Now, the 2025 MLB Draft order is set. Although the draft is still seven months away SGPN is stepping up to the plate to deliver a 2025 MLB Mock Draft. My name is Noah Bieniek, and I host The College Baseball Experience and follow amateur baseball all year. This was a super fun exercise for me to gauge the talent for next Spring.
Once again the MLB Draft Lottery determined the top 6 picks for this year’s MLB Draft. Washington Nationals were awarded the No. 1 overall selection for this Summer. In saying that, Seattle was the biggest Lottery winner. The Mariners had a 1.5% chance of landing a top 3 pick and shot up from No. 17 to No. 3 overall! St. Louis was also a huge beneficiary from the Lottery results. The Cardinals rose from No. 16 to No. 5 overall!
However on the other side of the coin both Miami and Colorado had a 22.5% chance of landing the No. 1 pick. Instead the Rockies slid to No. 4 and Marlins fell as far as they possibly could to Pick No. 7! This year has extra sting for Rocktober fans as this is now back-to-back seasons with the best odds to land No. 1 overall and dropping out of the pole position.
The High School 2025 MLB Draft class does not have a ton of top-tier talent in the first-round range. Established college pitchers are also expected to be a limited commodity in this year’s first round. ’25 will likely be another college-hitter-heavy first round, just like in 2024.
At the top of many big boards, you will see Texas A&M’s five-tool talent, Jace LaViolette. Slightly behind him, you see a pair of college arms, LHP Jamie Arnold (Florida State) and RHP Tyler Bremner (UC Santa Barbara). Ethan Holliday, brother of Jackson, son of Matt, and nephew of Oklahoma State Baseball Coach Josh Holliday, will likely be a top 5 pick as well.
A cluster of college hitters, featuring Brendan Summerhill from Arizona, Cam Cannarella from Clemson and Aiva Arquette from Oregon State backfills the 2025 draft class’ 99th percentile of talent.
Often, MLB organizations do not draft the best player available. Instead, they draft players that fit their organizational strengths. They do this because they typically develop those players best.
I don’t have any industry/team sources. Plus trying to drill every pick correctly on the day of the draft is hard enough. In this exercise all of the picks in my way too early 2025 MLB Mock Draft are based on each organization’s past draft history.
Tune into The College Baseball Experience podcast and show to hear about any more 2025 MLB Draft developments. Stick with Noah Bieniek and TCE throughout the NCAA Baseball offseason for periodical transfer portal and coaching carousel updates as well as any other news along the way.
