The 2025 NFC and AFC Championship Games are set and NFL fans will be treated to riveting rivalries on Sunday. The first game of the day will feature bitter NFC East rivals when the Philadelphia Eagles host the Washington Commanders at 3 p.m. ET. The Eagles have won 12 of the last 16 meetings against Washington and are favored by 5.5 points. The 2025 AFC Championship Game will feature Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosting Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills at 6:30 p.m. ET. Buffalo is 4-2 in its last six games against the Chiefs, which includes a 30-21 victory on Nov. 17. However, Kansas City is favored by 1.5 points according to the latest AFC Championship odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5.
Making NFL score predictions can help form not only NFL spread picks, but also NFL over-under picks and NFL parlays. Which conference championship games will be lopsided, and which ones could play out closer to their NFL betting odds? Before you make any NFL championship weekend picks, make sure you see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the championship round of the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-15 betting hot streak on top-rated NFL picks this year, a stunning 67% success rate. Longer term, it is on a 211-143 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season and a 65-36 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns at their best sports betting app.
Now, the model has simulated the NFC and AFC Championship Game 10,000 times. You can only see the model’s NFL exact score predictions at SportsLine.
After diving into the AFC and NFC Championship Games, the model is backing the Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5, 48) to beat the Washington Commanders, 29-23. These NFC East rivals have squared off twice this season, with both securing wins at home. Running back Saquon Barkley had a major impact in Philadelphia’s 26-18 victory over Washington on Nov. 14, carrying the ball 26 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns. Barkley is averaging 160.3 rushing yards per game over his last four contests and he’ll likely be heavily involved in Philadelphia’s game plan on Sunday.
In addition, Philadelphia has dominated this rivalry over the years, winning 12 of the last 16 meetings against Washington. The Eagles are also 5-1 against the spread in their past six meetings against an opponent from the NFC East.
Meanwhile, the Commanders have struggled to stop the run all season. Washington allowed Detroit to rush for over 200 yards last week and gave up 137.5 rushing yards per game during the regular season, which ranked 30th in the NFL. The model projects Barkley will rush for 120 yards and average 5.7 yards per carry while Philadelphia’s defense racks up an average of 3.26 sacks, helping the Eagles secure the victory in over 60% of simulations. See the model’s other NFL playoff score predictions at SportsLine.
In addition, the model has locked in NFL exact score predictions for Bills vs. Chiefs, which would return over 150-1. Nailing this result is key to making profitable NFL championship round picks. You can only see them at SportsLine.
Who wins each conference championship game, and which teams advance to Super Bowl LIX? Visit SportsLine now to get the model’s NFL score predictions, all from the model on a 31-15 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
Here are the top sportsbooks to bet on NFL games this week, along with the various NFL sportsbook promos they currently offer.
