The U.S. president signed an Executive Order last week for a six-month review of government support to all international intergovernmental organisations to decide whether it should withdraw from them or seek reform. “Any signal that a withdrawal from an MDB (multilateral development bank) has become a real possibility could lead to negative rating action,” Fitch said, a day after Moody’s delivered the same warning.
Fitch said it still viewed withdrawals by the U.S. as “unlikely” but said the impact – if it were to do so – would be considerable, causing financial damage, and that it could also “set a precedent and affect the cohesion of remaining shareholders”.
The rating firm added that the immediate reaction would likely be to put the impacted MDBs’ rating on a downgrade warning – or “Rating Watch Negative” in rating agency terminology.
Whether they were then stripped of their triple-A scores, “would depend on the conditions of the withdrawal and the response by other shareholders”, Fitch said.