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Hill is coming off a monster season in 2023, but he’s been quiet for the struggling Fins so far this season, with just 1 touchdown. A year ago, he recorded a career-high 13 TD grabs, and we expect the chemistry between Hill and Tagovailoa to pay off with a score against the Cardinals.
We should note that Hill is listed as questionable for this game, but he is expected to play. Also notable: Hill said on Wednesday that he and Tagovailoa were in lockstep in practice, which is a good sign that Tagovailoa will be looking Hill’s way early and often against the Cardinals.
A Chargers offense with an unproven group of receivers helped Justin Herbert throw for 336 yards last Monday against the Arizona secondary, and now the Cardinals are all the way on the East Coast on a short week following a hard-fought win. This DB group features a stud at safety in Budda Baker, but Hill will have a favorable matchup against whoever is in coverage against him.
Tyreek Hill Anytime TD (+120): 1 unit
The Green Bay Packers’ offensive balance is a big reason they’re 5-2 and on a three-game winning streak. Jordan Love and Green Bay’s young receivers are producing plenty of highlights, but RB Josh Jacobs has quietly been one of the best backs in the league in a season in which Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley have taken center stage.
Jacobs (currently fourth in the NFL with 540 rushing yards on an impressive 4.5 yards per carry) has not, however, been heavily featured in the red zone.
Jacobs (currently fourth in the NFL with 540 rushing yards on an impressive 4.5 yards per carry) has not, however, been heavily featured in the red zone. On the year, he’s scored just twice — once on the ground in a Week 5 win over the Rams, and once through the air last Sunday against the Texans.
The Packers have a tackle-breaking weapon in the former Raider, and as the calendar inches toward November, red zone opportunities for Jacobs should increase. Green Bay’s opponent on Sunday, the Jaguars, have mostly been good at defending the run this year, but they were gashed by both D’Andre Swift and Caleb Williams in a lopsided loss to Chicago two weeks ago.
Look for a steady dose of Jacobs today as the Packers (presumably) emphasize ball security after turning the ball over five times (including four Jordan Love interceptions) the last three weeks.
The last reason we like Jacobs here is the price we’re getting at FanDuel. He’s as short as -150 at some books to hit paydirt today, but he’s nearly even money at FD. Yes please!
Josh Jacobs Anytime TD (-110 at FanDuel): 1 unit
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