This game is set up to be one of the most competitive matchups in Week 5, featuring a pair of AFC divisional leaders at 3-1.
Josh Allen and Co. forfeited their first loss last week but are still playing very good football. For the first time in his seven-year career, Allen has zero interceptions through his first four games. Defensively, the Bills have kinks to work out in the run game, but their secondary and pass rush has been lights out, allowing just 16 passing yards per game when the quarterback is being pressured (fourth in NFL).
While there are some concerns around consistency, the good news for Houston is that C.J. Stroud and Nico Collins have emerged as a very threatening duo to opposing defenses. Collins is the league-leader in receiving yards (489) while Stroud continues to impress in his own way. Defensively, their loss against Minnesota exposed some of the Texans’ weak points, but they rank in the top five in sacks (14) and yards per game (273.8) which is sure to make Allen’s job hard.
Josh Allen has targeted the slot at the sixth-highest rate this season (34.7%). When doing so, he has generated a league-high 68.6% success rate. Allen has also recorded an 82.9% completion percentage and +0.73 EPA per drop back, both of which are ranked second in the NFL.
The Texans defense has allowed a 54.3% completion percentage and just 4.3 yards per attempt on passes targeting the slot this season, both best in the NFL.
