We’re more than halfway through the 2024 NFL season, into the double-digit weeks now. But it’s worth a reminder that all might not be as it seems when you look at the actual NFL standings vis-à-vis this week’s Power Rankings.

Yes, the Lions and Chiefs are surely making the playoffs. On the other end of the spectrum … Sorry, Giants, Titans, Raiders and Jaguars fans — I’m not seeing realistic paths to the postseason. But a look back to previous Week 11 standings proves that almost everyone in between those two groups of teams shouldn’t assume anything.

At this same point one year ago, the Jaguars, Seahawks and Vikings all had six wins. They all missed the postseason. Meanwhile, the Packers and Rams were 3-6, and the Buccaneers were 4-5. All three not only made it, but the Pack and Bucs each won their first playoff game, while the Rams nearly upset the Lions in theirs. Interestingly, one .500 team entering Week 11 made last year’s playoffs (Buffalo), but three did not (Indianapolis, New Orleans, Las Vegas), and neither did the then-5-4 Bengals.

In other words, nothing is set in stone.

Are we sure the Texans and Falcons have strangleholds on their respective divisions? After Miami’s win on Monday night, I might give the 3-6 Dolphins a slightly better shot to make the playoffs than the 4-5 Seahawks. I’d give the 4-6 Bengals better odds than the 4-5 Bears.

Hence why the bottom three-quarters of these Power Rankings feel even shakier than usual. I’m questioning everything.