An interesting new report on world football has featured certain Newcastle United players.
CIES Football Observatory producing the report.
In which they present the 100 players in the world with the highest estimated transfer values according to their statistical model.
How do they calculate their assessments?
* Built on around 5,500 paid transfers, the CIES Football Observatory’s statistical model explains more than 85% of the differences in the fees invested by clubs on the basis of criteria such as age, length of contract, minutes, the proportion of the latter as a starter, the sporting level of matches played, results, the economic strength of the player’s club and league, that of potential buyers, the level of inflation, etc.
**Estimates refer to 100% of transfer fees, including add-ons, with no consideration of eventual buy-out clauses.
CIES Football Observatory report on players in world football with highest current transfer values (estimated value of each player on far left, all figures are millions of euros):
As you can see, Jude Bellingham at the very top, with a transfer valuation of 280.4m euros (approx £238m).
If you are wondering why Kylian Mbappe, arguably the best player in the world, is missing. Once his free transfer departure from PSG officially happens, his new status will then put him right up there towards the top, maybe very top.
The more time left on a player’s contract, increases the current transfer value, the selling club in a far stronger position.
As for the Newcastle United players, interesting to see….
Bruno Guimaraes is rated 25th highest with an estimated current transfer value of 105.6m euros (approx £89.7m), compared to the £35m (plus £6.65m potential add-ons) that Newcastle paid in January 2022. Last season he agreed a new contract to the end of June 2028, so has four years left on his NUFC deal.
Alexander Isak 33rd highest with an estimated current transfer value of 100.6m euros (approx £85.4m), compared to the £59m (plus £4m potential add-ons) that Newcastle paid in the summer 2022 window. His current contract is also to the end of June 2028, so has four years left on his NUFC deal.
Anthony Gordon is the other Newcastle United player to feature in this world top 100 transfer values and indeed, top 50.
Gordon is 48th highest with an estimated current transfer value of 86.5m euros (approx £73.4m), compared to the £40m (plus £5m potential add-ons) that Newcastle paid in the January 2023 window. His current contract is also understood to be the end of June 2028, so has four years left on his NUFC deal.