PROJECTED POINTS: 11.8

Michelle: In Wilson’s season debut and first start as a Steeler, he logged three total touchdowns and put up nearly 25 fantasy points, finishing as the fantasy QB3 on the week. Wilson has scored at least 14 fantasy points in each of his last 10 starts, dating back to last season with the Broncos. Meanwhile, every starting quarterback who has faced the Giants this season has scored at least 13 fantasy points, and each QB who’s played Big Blue over the last three weeks has scored at least 19.8 points. Plus, New York’s defense is a friendly matchup for Wilson, who is very successful using play-action and throwing the deep ball. Per Next Gen Stats, the G-Men are allowing the third-highest passer rating off play-action and the highest completion percentage and passer rating on deep passes (20-plus air yds) in 2024. 

BONUS: I also like George Pickens eclipsing his projection of 13.3 points in this matchup. Wilson will continue to target Pickens deep down the field, which, as noted just above, is a weakness for the Giants’ secondary. Pickens scored 22.1 points last week in Wilson’s first start.