PROJECTED POINTS: 11.6

Matt: Two weeks into the season, Dobbins looked like a league-winner. He topped 130 rushing yards and 20 fantasy points in each of his first two outings, and the undefeated Jim Harbaugh-led Chargers were perfectly on script. Since then, the Chargers are 0-2, scoring exactly 10 points in each of their matchups against the stellar defenses of both the Steelers and Chiefs. Dobbins totaled 76 rushing yards in those two losses.

Unfortunately for L.A., the Broncos also have an extremely tough defense. The unit is ranked sixth in defensive rushing efficiency by NFL Pro, with Denver allowing just three rushing touchdowns in five games. Dobbins would need to break off a huge run (or two) or find the end zone to top this projection, and I don’t see either outcome happening against this squad.