Current salary: $5.4 million
2025 cap hold: $16.3 million
Realistic floor: $38.6 million
Realistic ceiling: $46.4 million
Best comp: Şengün may have more potential as the Rockets’ franchise star. If Green has a high comp, Şengün is higher and should be seeking the max.
Market value: $38.7 million

While Green has a high cap hold, Şengün’s is low enough that the Rockets may choose to wait, but only if they decide not to pay Green. Fred VanVleet has a massive $44.9 million team option that, if declined, could help Houston get to roughly $45.2 million in cap space (including Şengün’s cap hold).

If Şengün is a max player, he can only reach the $46.4 million by earning one of the league accolades (MVP, Defensive Player of the Year, All-NBA). Houston may choose to wait on Green and Şengün, deciding what to do with VanVleet and their roster around the draft in June.