After calling Bournemouth’s win over Manchester City, our football betting expert Jones Knows takes aim at Super Sunday.
I’m absolutely bouncing to be able to get 10/11 with Sky Bet on Aston Villa avoiding defeat.
This Tottenham team still are a great watch but not one to take seriously when it comes to challenging for top honours.
The opposite can be said of Aston Villa, who aren’t overly flamboyant but boy are they efficient and posses a streetwise manager in Unai Emery. Tottenham have lost nine of their last 16 Premier League games – only Wolves (12) have lost more since mid-April and the injury to Micky van de Ven only weakens them further.
If you take Man City out of the equation and just include Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham and Arsenal, Emery has lost two of his last 12 away days against those teams and has beaten Spurs twice at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with Villa.
Emery can celebrate his 53rd birthday on Sunday with a victory that should mean he’s in for a good evening.
Cole Palmer has been getting some special treatment of late, in that teams have decided on a method to stop him. To kick him, basically.
It’s merited too as he is the most dangerous man on planet Premier League, grabbing 45 goal involvements since the start of last season – no player has more. Nope, not even Erling Haaland.
Highlights of the Carabao Cup fourth-round match between Manchester United and Leicester City
Palmer has been fouled 19 times in his last six starts, which is a huge spike on where those numbers were last season. His fouls won data has risen from 0.89 fouls won per 90 from last season to 2.44 fouls won per game this season. These are Palmer’s fouls won numbers from his last six starts: 4-5-1-3-3-3.
Palmer is 13/8 with Sky Bet to be fouled three times.
I like Fulham at the prices here with Evens on offer from Sky Bet.
Marco Silva’s side have surprised me in the way they’ve adapted without João Palhinha. They might even be a better team this season without him, although that’s not shown in the actual points return of 12 from their nine games. However, when you dig a little deeper into the underlying numbers it paints a very shiny picture where Fulham should actually be third in the Premier League when it comes to Sky Sports’ expected goals table of dominance.
And that is shown by the fact they’ve won the expected goals battle in their last 10 matches across all competitions, including in defeats at Manchester City and Aston Villa. All this evidence shows that Fulham are putting in consistent performance levels, are restricting teams with their defensive process and creating good chances at the other end.
I’ve got them finishing the season much higher than Brentford, who are such poor travellers, losing 14 of their last 18 Premier League games on the road.
