Eleven races will be run and won this Sunday at Sha Tin, with good depth across the program.
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1 Lucky Man (Bet Now:
$SP.00) on top for me in the opener. He ran over 1400m here two weeks ago where he got into a decent spot off the speed snd loomed large to win but just couldn’t quite see it through when fourth. Like him in a truly run 1400m, he’ll be strong late and gets Purton aboard.
Danger
3 The Khan (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is dangerous if he can get a drag into the race. He got too far out of his ground a fortnight back at this track/distance and while he was never a winning threat, he kept finding the line and was quite good in defeat. Just needs to be within range and he has the finale to win.
Long Shot
2 Fight Time (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back to 1400m after racing over the mile here on New Years Day when off speed and failed to come on when down the track. Has a gate to use a sweet trip in transit and be effective late.
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6 Lucky Sam Gor (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a well bred gelding for Mark Newnham that debuts. He has had extensive trial work to get ready for start one, getting better with each hit out it appears and the stable can get them ready for start one. Not a deep race so happy to be in his corner.
Danger
2 Master Trillion (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has to be given another look for Frankie Lor. Total forgive at this track/distance last time when doing too much early work from the wide gate and just couldn’t get involved.
Long Shot
1 Excel Wongchoy (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has done his recent racing on the dirt over a longer trip so he can be an improver at odds. Latest outings have come over the mile when running just fair but not quite running the trip out. Better run in transit here, he’s good enough to take this out.
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1 Enjoy Golf (Bet Now:
$SP.00) looks the most obvious here. He has done little wrong this time in, the latest run being at this track/distance two weeks ago when near the speed and tried hard but had to settle for a close up second. Maps ideally, hard fit and in form, he appeals.
Danger
3 La Forza (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a Jamie Richards trained three year old that resumes after a three run opening prep in the Autumn where he didn’t do a bad job for the most part. Given a good break, extensive trial work which has been impressive snd Purton is booked.
Long Shot
2 Summit Cheers (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is five weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when back in the run and failed to get involved behind Circuit Jolly. He’ll spot them a start but I think he can be quite strong at the end. One for exotics.
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7 Lakeshore Hero (Bet Now:
$SP.00) looks suited back up to 1400m. He did a decent job at this track/distance two back before going to 1200m at Happy Valley when off speed snd kept finding the line in defeat. Back up in trip, he’ll spot them a start but should be quite strong late and can take this out.
Danger
2 Ka Ying Superb (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is three weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when on speed and he tried hard but just felt the pinch late. More economical run in transit, he is more than good enough to win this.
Long Shot
6 Ocean Impact (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a gelding that is on debut for Douglas Whyte. He has had extensive trial work in readiness for start one and has been solid enough each time. I say watch the market and see what it does.
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3 Autumn Vibes (Bet Now:
$SP.00) will be better suited over a bit further I feel but he looks talented and I think he can make a winning debut. He is well bred and has looked quite strong in trial work to get ready for start one. Purton booked is a good lead and this isn’t a deep contest to my eye.
Danger
1 Great State (Bet Now:
$SP.00) commands respect after racing at this track/distance four weeks ago. He got back in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he kept finding the line and was good in defeat behind Masterofmyuniverse, who would be odds on against these, so that form reads well.
Long Shot
4 Dreaming Winner (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is five weeks between runs since debuting at this track/distance when back off the speed and was never really a winning threat, if he can use the inside gate to advantage, he’s good enough to threaten at odds.
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6 Sight Dreamer (Bet Now:
$SP.00) on top but not really a race I want to get involved in. He is on debut for John Size off the back of extensive trial work and has looked pretty good to the eye each time he has stepped out. Bred to appreciate further but he looks to have enough talent to make a winning debut.
Danger
5 Oldtown (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a son of Territories that is on debut. He has had a stack of trials to get ready for start one and has looked solid enough to my eye. Maps to get a decent run in transit and overall, this isn’t an overly deep contest.
Long Shot
1 Celestial Harmony (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is five weeks between runs since racing down the straight over 1000m here when back in the run and failed to get ingomged when down the track. The rise in trip snd a bending track helps his cause…I wouldn’t be dismissing him just yet.
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7 Light Years Charm (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a good horse and confident he can get his Hong Kong win here. He was odds on when racing three weeks ago at this track/distance when off the speed from the inside gate and loomed to win but just found a couple better when third to Patch Of Cosmo. If he can overcome the tricky gate, I think he has too much class for these.
Danger
12 Juneau Pride (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has done little wrong in four career outings and commands respect. He is four weeks between runs since a track/distance win where he looked in awful trouble at stages but he balanced up and found the line strongly late to score. He’s found winning form and he can go on with it.
Long Shot
3 Gracious Express (Bet Now:
$SP.00) should land near the front and take running down after a track/distance run last time when near the front and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through, feeling the pinch late. With a better run in transit, he takes beating.
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6 Gorgeous Win (Bet Now:
$SP.00) rises in Class but he is progressive and confident he can measure up here. He was a track/distance winner from two weeks ago, giving them a start and a beating when knuckling down with purpose late to win and win well. He has a fab track/distance record and confident he runs well against these.
Danger
2 Raging Blizzard (Bet Now:
$SP.00) rises to this level as well but is flying at present, winning his past two. Latest win was five weeks ago at this track/distance when off the speed and trucking before being presented clear air and let down with purpose late to win and win well. Confident he measures up.
Long Shot
1 Taj Dragon (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back in grade and distance after racing at Group lll level over 1400m last time when off speed and was never really a factor behind Patch Of Theta. Better set up here and the tick over trial was a good piece of work, so don’t dismiss him.
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3 Californiatotality (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is racing really well at the moment for Tony Cruz and looks the straight bat play in what looks a race with several key chances. Latest run came over this trip at Happy Valley when on speed throughout and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through and was nabbed late by Speed Dragon. Tricky draw, but will press forward and take beating.
Danger
8 Silvery Breeze (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has done little wrong in a ten start career for David Eustace and commands respect. He has been strong in recent times, the latest run being over the mile here when back from the wide gate but worked home with real purpose and was quite good in defeat behind New Future Folks. Can settle closer and good lead that Purton sticks.
Long Shot
1 Allcash (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a former star from Brazil that hasn’t set the world on fire in two Hong Kong runs. He looked very good over there and was purchased, I dare say, with eyes on the Derby. Got too far back in the Chinese New Year Cup and was never a factor. The rise in trip I do like but this is D-Day.
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4 Hong Lok Golf (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is several weeks between runs since making it 2/2 to start his career, giving them a start and a beating to win at this track/distance. He does look a progressive animal and his trial work since has been pretty good, so keen to see how he goes.
Danger
6 Triumphant More (Bet Now:
$SP.00) lands on speed and will take running down, as seen on Dec 15 here when leading throughout and credit to him, he was there to be beaten but he found under pressure to fend them off and win. Good racing style and Purton sticks.
Long Shot
8 Aurio (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is flying for David Hayes but he has an awful racing pattern. He ran over this track/distance last time when back near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, he kept finding the line and was pretty good in defeat behind Prince Of Porty. He’ll spot them a start but be strong at the end.
Back Me
6 Equatorial (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is the each way bet for me for the meeting. He looks a nice horse on the up and should be better for the first up run, which came over this track/distance where he got back to near last in the run but I did like the way he closed off in defeat. If he can get a drag into the race and be within range, he has the finale to win.
Danger
3 Masterofmyuniverse (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is getting better with racing and is one of the key chances. He has been kept on ice since a Jan 12 win here over 1200m, making it two on the bounce and was impressive in winning. Tick over trial was good, Zac sticks…just a query at 1400m.
Long Shot
1 Keefy (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back to 1400m after racing over 1800m at Happy Valley where he found the trip and the track not to his liking when down the track behind Star Mac. He hasn’t fired a shot in some time but overall, this doesn’t appear to be an overly deep contest. Include in exotics.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 7 Light Years Charm
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 1 Lucky Man
LONG SHOT: Race Eleven Number 6 Equatorial
Quaddie (Races Eight Through To Eleven):
Leg One: 2, 6
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 8
Leg Three: 4, 5, 6, 8
Leg Four: 1, 3, 6, 8, 13
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful.
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