Ten races will be run and won at Sha Tin this Sunday, with good depth across the meeting.
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10 Ho Ho Star (Bet Now: $4.00) has had a few chances to break the maiden tag, which can be said about a fair chunk of these, but I do think he is knocking on the door. He ran over 1200m at Happy Valley on Nov 6 where he got back in the run and closed off well enough late in the piece without threatening behind Podium. Couple of strong tick over trials to keep him up to the mark and does get Purton back on.
Danger
1 Country Dancer (Bet Now: $4.00) is a tick over two weeks between runs for John Size since a win at Happy Valley where he gave them a start and a beating, letting down with real purpose late in the piece to win and win well. His confidence is up, he’s a last start winner…I say he commands respect.
Long Shot
8 Plentiful (Bet Now: $4.00) will put himself on speed and look to give his all. He did that in the Country Dancer race mentioned above and tried hard but couldn’t quite see it through and tired late to finish fourth. Yet to see the straight track but with his racing style, he’ll give himself every chance.
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6 Manythanks Forever (Bet Now: $4.00) has found winning form and he can go on with it. He won over this track/distance two weeks ago, getting into a sweet spot off the speed before angling into clear air and knuckled down with purpose late to win and win well. He has that win on the board and I say he’s hard to beat here.
Danger
3 Flying Phantom (Bet Now: $4.00) is bursting to win for John Size. He was good late when resuming at Happy Valley before going to this track/distance a fortnight back and was one of the eye catchers of the meeting, closing off hard late when a close up fourth. If he can be within range, he has the finale to be quite dangerous.
Long Shot
1 Star Line (Bet Now: $4.00) comes back to 1400m after racing over the mile at Happy Valley. He seemed to get into a decent spot in transit off the speed and didn’t really find much, perhaps struggling at the trip, so back to 1400m is fine and the depth here isn’t overly deep.
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1 Senor Toba (Bet Now: $4.00) hasn’t won in a long time but he does bring a class edge and I reckon isn’t racing too bad. He ran over 1800m at Happy Valley last start where he got back and I am not sure he was 100% happy on the smaller track but he wasn’t too bad in defeat. Like him up to 2000m on the bigger track and his tick over trial was good, plus gets Bowman.
Danger
2 Money Catcher (Bet Now: $4.00) brings the A1 form given last start was the Jockey Club Cup and he didn’t disgrace himself in defeat behind the star, the champ, the all time great, Romantic Warrior. That is clearly the best form for this, trial was good and maps to no work. Clearly hard to beat.
Long Shot
9 Bravehearts (Bet Now: $4.00) rises to Class 2 company but Mark Newnham has him going really well at the moment. Strong track/distance winner two back before going to 1800m three weeks back and was good from off the speed when third. Gets good weight relief and is dangerous if the inside gate can be used to advantage.
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4 Master Phoenix (Bet Now: $4.00) for me. I was really keen on his chances three weeks ago at this track/distance but after getting the suck run in transit, he didn’t fire a shot and was very much on the plain side late in the piece when fourth. The debut run was a beauty hence why I was so keen on him last start. I think he can bounce back.
Danger
2 Endeared (Bet Now: $4.00) is three weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a winning threat, you had to like the way he finished his race off in defeat when third. If he can get a drag into the race, he takes beating.
Long Shot
3 Beauty Missile (Bet Now: $4.00) has a gate to settle much closer in the run and be dangerous. He ran four weeks back at this track/distance where he did early work from the tricky gate and was never a factor behind Dragon Joy. If he can use the inside gate to advantage, he’s dangerous.
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2 Masterofmyuniverse (Bet Now: $4.00) looks the winner if he can overcome the tricky draw. He has been runner up in both career outings, the latest run being over 1200m at Happy Valley several weeks ago when off speed and loomed but just found one better. Tick over trial was quite good and I do think getting to the bigger track will help his cause.
Danger
3 Newborn Miracle (Bet Now: $4.00) is a key threat. He too has been pretty good in two career runs, the latest seeing him run second over this track/distance a fortnight back when off the speed and kept chasing, just missing out on the win. Maps ideally, hard to beat.
Long Shot
4 California Blitz (Bet Now: $4.00) is a son of Capitalist that is on debut. This guy has had extensive trial work in readiness for start one, the latest trial seeing him place over 1200m, so the grounding is there to run a positive race at start one. Watch the market.
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5 Nebraskan (Bet Now: $4.00) is knocking on the door to win. He ran here at the midweeks last time out when doing work from the wide gate and although held late, he stayed on and was quite good in defeat behind Dragon Air Force. Tricky draw again but with better luck in transit, he takes beating.
Danger
6 Mr Energia (Bet Now: $4.00) is dangerous if he can overcome the gate. He ran over this track/distance three weeks ago where he got a fair way out of his ground but really liked the way he finished his race off in defeat behind Happy Park. Just needs a drag into the contest and he’ll be hard to hold out.
Long Shot
4 Sunny Darling (Bet Now: $4.00) is four weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance. He lobbed on speed quite comfortably and was there to win in the straight but just couldn’t quite see it through when a close up third. Good gate to use, he’s a leading contender.
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5 Forerunner (Bet Now: $4.00) on top for me in an open contest. He hasn’t raced since Oct 20 where he got back and was never a factor when down the track behind Win Speed. Given a break and have really liked the way he has trialled up in readiness for the return, so I say watch the market, but I say he’s here to go.
Danger
1 Ballistic Win (Bet Now: $4.00) is a model of consistency and I suspect that trend will continue here. He ran over this track/distance two weeks ago when back off the speed and chased with purpose in a good effort in defeat behind New Future Folks. Gets in well after the claim and strikes a winnable race.
Long Shot
3 Panda (Bet Now: $4.00) has found positive form…can he go on with it? Four weeks between runs since racing over 1200m here where he got back to near last in the run but really liked the way he finished his race off in defeat behind The Boom Box. If he can build off that, he’s dangerous here.
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1 Healthy Healthy (Bet Now: $4.00) comes back to Class 3 grade and with that in mind, I think he’s a good thing on the program. He ran two weeks ago at this track/distance in a strong Class 2 and he didn’t disgrace himself in defeat I thought behind Stellar Express. That form does read very well for this and back to this grade, he’ll take beating.
Danger
6 Heroic Master (Bet Now: $4.00) comes back to Sha Tin after a run at Happy Valley just over a fortnight back where he got a fair way out of his ground but really liked the way he finished his race off in defeat behind Atomic Force. Purton on, can settle closer, hard to beat.
Long Shot
9 Sky Cap (Bet Now: $4.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Annabel Neasham, he makes his Hong Kong debut for Casper Fownes. He showed really good promise as a juvenile so keen to see how he goes here in Hong Kong and his trial work leading in has been quite strong.
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3 Full Credit (Bet Now: $4.00) seems the straight bat play. He ran over this track/distance four weeks ago where he got into a decent spot in transit and tried hard but couldn’t quite see it through when second to Sing Dragon. That form clearly reads well for this and maps ideally once again.
Danger
4 Self Improvement (Bet Now: $4.00) is racing well and commands respect. He ran over this track/distance last Wednesday when off the speed and chased strongly but couldn’t quite finish the job when second to Packing Bole. Maps ideally and hard to knock the way he’s racing.
Long Shot
1 Wonder Kit (Bet Now: $4.00) is on the seven day back up after racing last Sunday over this track/distance where he copped a check at the start and I reckon that sealed his fate but he was far from disgraced in defeat. If the breaks go his way, he is good enough to win.
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7 Markwin (Bet Now: $4.00) looks a potential Group l horse. He is getting better with racing, winning his past two. Latest win was three weeks ago at this track/distance where he gave them a start and a beating in an electric performance. Has a better gate this time around and I think will explode. THE Good thing on the card.
Danger
2 Charming Legend (Bet Now: $4.00) put his unbeaten run on the line when racing three weeks ago in the race mentioned above. He lobbed on speed under J Mac and tried his guts out but just couldn’t quite see it through with Markwin nailing him late. Not sure he turns the tables but runs well regardless.
Long Shot
13 Winning Wing (Bet Now: $4.00) is a very interesting runner. He was known as Samid in SA when sprouting wings late to win on debut at Murray Bridge in July before being sent to Hong Kong. He has trialled like he will appreciate more ground but has ability, so watch the market.
BEST BET: Race Ten Number 7 Markwin
NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 1 Healthy Healthy
LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 1 Senor Toba
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 5, 11
Leg Two: 1
Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 5
Leg Four: 7
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