Flemington will conduct a nine event card on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out eleven metres for the entire circuit.
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3 Henlein (Bet Now: $8.50) is a Team Freedman trained juvenile that I think will love getting to 1400m at Flemington after a strong debut win at Bendigo where he was one of the first off the bit but he got better as the race went on and was impressive late in the piece to win. Confident he can measure up against this lot.
Danger
11 Whateley (Bet Now: $23.00) is an interesting runner. Busuttin/Young trained colt that is on debut. He’s had two jumpouts at Cranbourne this prep in readiness for start one, the latest being a win over 1000m when the Blinkers were applied and despite being a bit lazy, he was too good. 1400m fresh I do like, maps well…can see him threatening.
Long Shot
5 Jenni’s Meadow (Bet Now: $12.00) has looked quite one paced in both runs back from a spell and is racing as if she will love getting to 1400m. She ran over 1200m here two weeks back behind Wonder Boy where she loomed to win after getting a decent sit off the speed but when Bates asked for the effort, she couldn’t quite let down and finish off. Like her up in trip and she should be hard fit.
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11 Mirzann (Bet Now: $3.50) seems a very one paced type so I do think the rise to 2500m will be ideal. Punters were quite keen on him three weeks back at Caulfield and while he was held up at times, he was out with clear air early enough and was just fair late. He is dour, so like him up in trip and not dismissing him…yet.
Danger
10 Queen Takes King (Bet Now: $12.00) has the 2500m run under the belt now, which should her in good stead. That run came behind Berkshire Breeze a fortnight back where she was off the speed and kept finding the line to run third to the stablemate. Good upside to come and can settle closer in the run.
Long Shot
3 Born A King (Bet Now: $15.00) can run a much improved race for Chris Waller. He ran two weeks back over 2000m here where he was held up at times but overall, thought he had his chance when down the track behind Virtuous Circle. He is a winner at 2400m, he has good upside to come and this race is thin.
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5 Craig (Bet Now: $1.65) is a very nice horse for Busuttin/Young and he looks primed to bounce back into the winners list. He ran two weeks ago here and really, should have bolted in, but just got badly held up when wanting to build the revs and only got out late before savaging the line, just missing out on picking up Rise At Dawn. Clear air this time around, I think he’ll be too good.
Danger
1 Rise At Dawn (Bet Now: $4.60) will jump on speed and take running down. Can make a case to say he was lucky to win here a fortnight back but credit to him, he did it on speed, was there to be run down and was able to kick on and win, just. That was his first run since April 13 so with room for improvement, he appeals.
Long Shot
8 Red Galaxy (Bet Now: $9.00) is heading in the right direction for Greg Eurell. He did more than enough on debut at Pakenham before going to Sandown where they rode him with a sit and the result was there for all to see, because he made an absolute mess of them. Got more upside than most, maps ideally again…knockout hope.
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8 Jenny Jerome (Bet Now: $7.50) should prove hard to beat for Patrick Payne. She was off a mini freshen up when racing at this track/distance two weeks ago. She got back off the speed and found the line with purpose in a good effort when second to in form SA mare Fancify. Better for the run under the belt, can settle closer in the run, she’ll take beating.
Danger
11 Episodic (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Clarken/O’Shea since racing over 1400m at Caulfield where she kept chasing from off the speed but couldn’t quite get there when second to in form mare Subliminal. Has come back in career best form and she only has to run up to last start to be around the mark.
Long Shot
6 Belle Et Riche (Bet Now: $7.50) is dangerous with her best. Archie Alexander trained mare that ran two weeks back at this track/distance where she got a fair way out of her ground and did make up headway without threatening behind Fancify. She has the potential to settle much closer in the run and she does have a touch of class/quality.
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B Shinn first time on 3 Extremely Lucky (Bet Now: $4.20) is enough for me to lean his way. He ran behind La Danseuse Rouge three weeks ago at Caulfield where he just got too far back in the run but I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece. He is a dynamic short course horse at this level when right and off last run, I think he’s back on track.
Danger
2 Who Dares (Bet Now: $4.60) is absolutely flying at the moment and has to be respected as one of the key chances. He is five weeks between runs since a strong win down the straight here, taking out the Straight Six and was strong to the line in winning so 1100m here is no issue and he only has to hold his form to be around the mark.
Long Shot
1 Ashford Street (Bet Now: $6.50) is a beauty for Tom Dabernig and has to be respected. He ran at Caulfield three weeks ago where he got into a decent spot behind the speed before peeling wider, clear air and let down hard, but had no answers for the finale of La Daneuse Rouge. Not really known as a straight track performer but the way he is racing under Dabernig, he has to be given serious respect.
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Looks a lovely race for 6 King Of The Castle (Bet Now: $3.50). Joe Pride rarely gets it wrong when he sends them on the road and this guy looks spot on. He ran over 1300m at Randwick two weeks ago and looked all over the winner when bursting through, but second up, testing ground, just think condition gave way late when second to Excelladus. Hard fit now, 1600m, B Shinn, keen.
Danger
1 Munhamek (Bet Now: $5.00) has to lump the big weight but he is a beauty for Nick Ryan. Should have bolted up two back at Caulfield before going to the Swan Hill Cup where he was given clear air early and class kicked in late to win and win well. Loves Flemington, in form, strong late, versatile…likeable.
Long Shot
11 Prince Of Helena (Bet Now: $23.00) has been excellent this time in and for mine, is a knockout hope. He comes through the Swan Hill Cup where he got back to near last in the run and did make up good ground without threatening when fourth to Munhamek. He has run well at the track/distance previously and hard fit now, he can win without surprising.
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18 Elouyou (Bet Now:
$SP.00) on top. Most thought Lane was a bit cute on him in the straight two weeks ago at this track/distance. IMO, I thought the horse had every chance and was just run down by a better horse on the day, Georgie Get Mad. I do think though the horse is better with a bunny to chase, so if that eventuates, he’ll take beating I am sure.
Danger
3 Rheinberg (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a beauty for Team Hayes and should be around the mark once again. He ran a close up third to Georgie Get Mad a fortnight back at this track/distance where he got into a good spot near the speed and was there to win but couldn’t quite get the W. Bursting to win another race and he gets a great chance here.
Long Shot
4 Tijuana (Bet Now: $10.00) hasn’t really gone on with it since his 3YO Spring campaign but he hasn’t been too bad of late. Like him back to 1400m after racing over the mile in the Swan Hill Cup last time where he was near the speed throughout and tried hard, but couldn’t finish it off and I think the track was too firm. If this track has the edge off it, he can run a much improved race.
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6 Steel Run (Bet Now: $6.00) has done little wrong in three career outings for Mick Kent and commands some form of respect. He was backed with confidence two weeks back here at this trip and while he was an eye catcher from the back, he just got too far out of his ground. Has eyes on the Final I am sure, but with a more positive ride here, he’ll be hard to hold out.
Danger
2 Aztec State (Bet Now: $8.00) has been up a little while but only has to hold his form to be around the mark. He ran over 2000m a fortnight back where he got back to near last in the run and did work to the line quite well but was never really a threat behind Lady In Pink. If he can settle closer in the run, he’ll be around the mark.
Long Shot
8 Gifted Gamer (Bet Now: $23.00) is one I can entertain for wider exotics. He ran fourth to Rise At Dawn two weeks back where he got into a decent spot behind the speed but was a bit one paced in the run to the line when fourth. Doubt he is going well enough to win but can run top four.
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5 Marble Nine (Bet Now: $5.00) is the way I am leaning. I liked him here two weeks ago and he tried hard from near the speed but just couldn’t quite withstand the finale of Right To Party and had to settle for a second. He passed that test with flying colours and better for that run under the belt, experience down the straight, he rates highly.
Danger
1 Oak Hill (Bet Now: $4.60) has returned in really good order for Michael Moroney. 2/2 this prep, with wins at Sandown over 1000m on the Hillside and Lakeside respectively, each time giving them a start and a beating. If he can stretch his brilliance to 1100m, then they are cooking with gas and he becomes a serious threat.
Long Shot
7 Wallenda (Bet Now: $18.00) can run an improved race at odds. This guy ran behind Right To Party two weeks back where he got back off the speed and while he was never a threat, he did find the line well enough I thought. Hopefully with a more positive steer, he’s dangerous at odds.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 6 King Of The Castle
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 3 Henlein
LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 3 Extremely Lucky
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 6
Leg Two: 3, 4, 14, 18
Leg Three: 2, 6, 8, 9, 14
Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 7
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