Royal Ascot 2024 continues on Wednesday night, headlined by the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (2004m).
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Fraught with danger tipping a Wesley Ward juvenile, but gee I was impressed by the debut win of 24 Ultima Grace (Bet Now: $13.00). She debuted over 900m at Keeneland back in April where she led throughout and pretty much jogged to the line in winning, justifying the $1.20 SP. The thing going for her is that she is by American Pharoah out of a mare that won over 1400m as a juvenile, so she is bred to be a 1600m+ horse, but the fact she won so effortlessly over 900m tells me she has an engine under the hood.
Danger
23 Truly Enchanting (Bet Now: $6.00) has to be respected. Well bred filly for Aidan O’Brien that debuted a few weeks ago over this trip at Tipperary and she made an absolute mess of them in a dominant display. The form hasn’t been tested properly as of yet but she is bred to appreciate much further, so winning so well at 1000m on debut tells me she’s above average and this is one of the rare races at Royal Ascot that Aidan O’Brien hasn’t won.
Long Shot
18 Oxford Rock (Bet Now: $71.00) is a Starspangledbanner filly that debuted in the same race at Tipperary where she ran second to Truly Enchanting. She seemingly had every chance from near the speed but was safely held late in the piece, but she did comfortably beat the rest. Stable loves to target races at Royal Ascot so while I doubt she turns the tables. she can run top four.
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I am really keen on 4 Illinois (Bet Now: $2.70) and for mine, he’s not just the best bet on this card but is one of the better bets for the entire Carnival. He ran in the Derby Trial at Lingfield where he led and seemed to move well but when asked for the effort, he was one paced and had no answers for the change up speed of Ambiente Friendly, but he stayed on to run second, comfortably beaten, but he comfortably beat the rest, and was strong to the line, suggesting that 2847m is ideal and keep in mind Ambient Friendly ran second in the Derby, which is A1 form.
Danger
1 Birdman (Bet Now: $7.00) is unbeaten in two career outings and has to be respected. Somewhat of an arrogant win on debut at Cork before repeating the dose at Navan over 2615m where he had a suck run in behind the speed before angling clear and he knuckled down with purpose late to win and win well. Harder here, slight query at the trip, but you don’t know how good they are til they’re beaten.
Long Shot
2 Grosvenor Square (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is one I can entertain for exotics. He resumed in the Chester Vase where he was very one paced when asked for the effort but he did stick on and didn’t spit the dummy out when third, a well held third, to impressive winner Hidden Law. He looks as though he’ll have no issue with the trip and has the Aidan O’Brien polish.
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One of the better each way gambles on the card here for me in the shape of 12 Royal Dress (Bet Now: $26.00). This girl was a strong first up winner at Goodwood before going to Epsom in the Princess Elizabeth and she should have bolted in. Just got badly held up behind them and didn’t get clear air until it was too late. Should have won. Harder here, but she’s flying, she’ll be strong late and should get clear air.
Danger
Well this would be a training effort and a half from Team Gosden if they could get 6 Laurel (Bet Now: $5.00) to win first up. She hasn’t raced since the Lockinge in 2023, 13 months ago, when down the track behind a star in Modern Games. She could have easily retired and headed to the breeding barn but they have kept her in training, found a nice race here and the big lead is the stable has booked Ryan Moore.
Long Shot
2 Breege (Bet Now: $15.00) won that race mentioned above at Epsom that Royal Dress contested. Lucky to win? I say yes, but she put herself in a position to win the race and credit to her, she was there to be beaten but she found and was too good late in fending them off. Not sure I could back her to win, but she’s one for exotics.
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Good luck beating 2 Auguste Rodin (Bet Now: $2.40) I feel. He was a flop first up at Meydan but bounced back to positive form in the Tatts Gold Cup at Curragh where he tried hard but had no answers late for White Birch. The track was quite shifty that day so on a firmer deck this time around, hard fit, maps perfect…he’s the winner.
Danger
10 Inspiral (Bet Now: $4.20) is a gun mare for Team Gosden and has to be respected. Market kept her quite safe in betting when resuming in the Lockinge at Newbury and I thought she was a bit on the plain side, seemingly having every chance from near the speed and was one paced late when fourth to stablemate Audience. She has runs on the board though, good improvement to come…in the mix for sure.
Long Shot
1 Alflaila (Bet Now: $8.50) is a talented animal that resumes. He hasn’t raced since the Irish Champion Stakes last year when outclassed but far from disgraced in defeat I thought behind Auguste Rodin but I will say was held. He has been kept on ice to resume in this race, which to me screams intent, and his best is good enough to be dangerous at odds.
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As is the case always with this race, it’s very open. That said, it was hard to miss the first up run of 11 Coeur D’Or (Bet Now: $11.00) down the straight at Curragh over 1200m. Back near last, held up, in restricted room but once clear, gee he found the line with purpose and his late splits were very good. Clearly a pipe opener for this race, Dermot Weld has his runners flying at the moment, he’ll love getting to the mile, dry ground…great each way gamble.
Danger
20 Wild Tiger (Bet Now: $6.50) has the potential to be a Group l horse in time I feel and I reckon he would be a perfect candidate for mile races down under if they ever decided to bring a team here for the Spring. He was arrogant at Goodwood last time out. Yes, he had the 1/1 sit and it was a sit and steer job from Murphy, but the horse just went like a beast the way he lengthened out and attacked the line. Beauty and is clearly hard to beat.
Long Shot
Going to be including 12 Bless Him (Bet Now: $21.00). He ran over 1400m at Haydock last time out and for mine, it was almost like it was a barrier trial for him. He was back last throughout, Spencer didn’t really get stuck to him and only got warm at various stages, beating one runner home but I think had more to give. Good effort over 1400m here the start prior and was solid in this race last year. Can see him getting back, with cover, a drag into the contest and launching late.
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I think the market has missed 23 Aurora Dawn (Bet Now: $10.00) for Ed Walker. Just looked in need of the run fresh at Kempton before going to Goodwood where she pretty much went around like it was a barrier trial, getting badly held up but loved the way she found the line when eventually clear behind Wild Tiger, who goes around in the Royal Hunt Cup and I am tipping is hard to beat there, so the form reads very well IMO, she’s drawn to get clear air and will love getting to the mile.
Danger
11 Summer Of Love (Bet Now: $8.50) is the one with the most upside/progression I feel. She has to come to the turf from the synthetic but her two wins at Kempton on the synthetic have screamed out of a horse that is destined for better races, starting here, and she gives every indication of loving the rise to the mile.
Long Shot
20 Elim (Bet Now: $6.50) is dangerous prospect. She did nice things last year and looked a Royal Ascot contender but injury stopped her 2023 campaign. She resumed at Redcar and did more than enough I thought when fourth. The first two across the line have won since, this girl has a stack of improvement to come re condition and I am confident she can measure up.
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28 Aviation Time (Bet Now: $21.00) looks a big price here I feel. Loved the ticker she showed on speed to win on debut over 1200m at Kempton before coming back to 1000m at Beverley where she was badly held up at a crucial stage and couldn’t get clear until it was all over, surging late to run third. The end of a hard 1000m looks perfect for her, she’s drawn out, she’ll be strong late…I think she’s a great each way play to end the card.
Danger
22 Shadow Army (Bet Now: $5.50) creates interest. He has been kept on ice since debuting with a win down the straight at York where he moved into the race with purpose under Tudthorpe and in a driving go, was able to cling on and get the win. The runner up has since won a Listed race so the form reads well and a prominent ownership group saw enough in the debut win to purchase him. Think he has to be respected.
Long Shot
13 Honorary American (Bet Now: $19.00) could be another of these Wesley Ward squibs that goes 600m and says that is enough or he could produce sustained speed from the front and win. He debuted at Aqueduct in the US where he was part of a hot speed battle and although he felt the pinch to run third, he stuck on well enough in defeat. He’ll lead and give cheek.
BEST BET: Race Two Number 4 Illinois
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 2 Auguste Rodin
LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 12 Royal Dress
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