A strong eleven race card has been set down for Sha Tin on Sunday with good depth across the program.
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4 Podium (Bet Now:
$SP.00) does tend to race better at Happy Valley vs Sha Tin but the way he’s racing at the moment, he should prove hard to beat against these. Recent run came over the mile at Happy Valley when back near last in the run but worked home with real purpose when a narrow second to Confringo. Big jockey upgrade and with a drag into the race, he’ll take beating.
Danger
2 Gallant Crown (Bet Now:
$SP.00) ran third in the race mentioned above. He attempted to lead throughout and gave a strong kick from the front but just couldn’t quite see it through, tiring late in the piece. Maps ideally and was a month between runs last time so he has room for improvement.
Long Shot
8 Ivictoriam (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is dangerous at odds. He ran over 1400m here last time where he got a fair way off the speed and while he was never a winning threat, he did make up headway and was pretty good in defeat I thought. He was several weeks between runs there so like him up to 1600m and has an inside gate to use.
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2 Top Dragon (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is getting better with racing and should prove hard to beat. Did enough on debut behind Masterofmyuniverse before going to this track/distance again when off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat when second to Blazing Wind. Hard fit now, maps ideally, hard to beat.
Danger
3 Beauty Missile (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a key threat. He ran over this track/distance last time out when getting a fair way out of his ground but worked home with purpose when fourth to Sky Joy, beaten under a length. If he can settle closer and be within range, he takes beating.
Long Shot
6 Wrote A New Page (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a son of Wrote that is on debut for Danny Shum. This guy has had extensive trial work in readiness for start one and has steadily got better each time. Maps to get a decent run and has a strong rider in Tom Marquand to steer. One for exotics.
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1 Magnifique (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has to translate his form to a bending track vs the straight course but he looks a good mover for David Hall. He was a short priced favourite when debuting here on Australia Day, sitting near the speed before being clicked up and away he went to win and win well. If he can overcome the tricky gate, he takes beating.
Danger
4 Patch Of Time (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back to 1200m after racing over 1400m here last time when doing early work in the run and just tired late in the piece. Back to 1200m does look a positive and I think with a more conservative steer, he can run an improved race at odds.
Long Shot
3 Multisuper (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has a good track/distance record so don’t dismiss him. Latest run was Jan 5 down the straight here over 1000m when down the track, just finding them too sharp. The rise in trip I do like for him and his best is good enough to be dangerous.
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3 Forerunner (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has found winning form and he can go on with it. That win came at this track/distance when giving them a start and a beating, letting down with real purpose late in the piece to win and win well. If he can use the inside gate to advantage, I think it’s a case of good luck beating him.
Danger
1 Magnificent Nine (Bet Now:
$SP.00) drops back to Class 4 company after contesting a pretty solid Class 3 at Happy Valley last start when off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat. 1400m should be fine for him and with a more positive ride, he will be around the mark.
Long Shot
6 Magic Combo (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a son of Contributer that debuts for Danny Shum. He has had a couple of trials to get ready for start one. He looked terrible in the first one but showed vast improvement in the second trial and you do have to respect the stable when it comes to first starters.
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2 Master Of All (Bet Now:
$SP.00) seems the straight bat play here. Son of Charm Spirit that has been a real model of consistency in recent times, his latest run being at this track/distance on Jan 5 when leading and giving a strong kick from the front but just felt the pinch late in the piece. Tick over trial was good, he has a good racing style and strikes a winnable race.
Danger
1 Spirit Of Peace (Bet Now:
$SP.00) debuted here and was quite good in defeat before going to Happy Valley for his next two runs, the latest run seeing him win over 1200m and was strong to the line suggesting a rise to 1400m will suit, and he has upside/scope.
Long Shot
5 Lucky Statement (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is an improver at odds. This colt debuted at this track/distance back on Dec 22 when raw and new to the caper, failing to fire when down the track behind Ka Ying Attack. Given a mini break and I thought his recent tick over trial was pretty good, so keen to see how he goes.
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7 Me Time (Bet Now:
$SP.00) on top but not really a race I want to get involved in. He ran over this trip at Happy Valley last time out where he got off speed and kept chasing in a pretty good effort in defeat behind a nice horse, Charity Gain. I think that form does read quite well and he strikes a winnable assignment.
Danger
2 Beauty Alliance (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is unknown at the trip but has the talent. Latest run was on Jan 22 over the mile at Happy Valley. He got into a decent spot behind the speed and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through when a close up fourth to Amazing Award.
Long Shot
1 Toy Soltero (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is one to be entertained for exotics. He ran over this trip at Happy Valley when landing on speed and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through, feeling the pinch late in the piece. I think with a more patient steer, he can threaten and win.
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2 Markwin (Bet Now:
$SP.00) has to be running well here, or even winning, to continue down the Debry path. He contested the Classic Mile where he got back to near last in the run and was never really a factor when down the track behind My Wish. Prior efforts suggested he was a Derby contender so if you can forgive last start, he takes beating here.
Danger
1 Top Gun (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is the key and I dare say only threat. He comes through the Classic Mile as well. He was a big price and got into a decent off speed but just whacked to the line and ran like the market said he would. Tricky draw, but I do think 1800m suits and this isn’t a deep contest.
Long Shot
7 Mega Force (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Former Irish stayer that makes his Hong Kong debut. I find him interesting given his form is at 2400m+, and there isn’t many races over that trip in Hong Kong. His recent trial over the mile was quite good though and the form around him is strong.
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7 Mid Winter Wind (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a potential Hong Kong Derby prospect and off his first up win, he’s the one they have to beat. Formerly in South Africa, his Hong Kong debut came over 1200m here where he gave them a start and a beating, producing a brilliant finale late in the piece to score and win well. Fitter and up in trip, if he can settle closer in the run, I think good luck beating him.
Danger
2 Sunlight Power (Bet Now:
$SP.00) commands some level of respect off the back of a track/distance win three weeks ago where he got the beaut sit in transit behind the speed before angling clear and knuckled down with purpose late to win and win well. Tricky draw, but should be around the mark.
Long Shot
1 The Golden Scenery (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a first four contender. He ran fifth to Sunlight Power in the race mentioned above when landing on speed and he tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through and felt the pinch late in the piece. Not sure he wins, but is a must include in exotics.
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5 Majestic Express (Bet Now:
$SP.00) for me in what looks an open contest. On the seven day back up after racing over 1200m here last Sunday where he got back off the speed but kept finding the line in a pretty good effort in defeat I thought behind Righteous Arion. He has run well down the straight previously, he’ll be strong late…just hope he can be in range.
Danger
7 Crimson Flash (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is one of the leading contenders off the back of a Hong Kong debut at this track/distance when near the speed and fought hard but just couldn’t quite see it through and was nabbed late by Fast Responder. Drawn well, lands near the front, takes beating.
Long Shot
12 Know At Heart (Bet Now:
$SP.00) is a definite winning chance. He ran over this track/distance last start behind Fast Responder in the race mentioned above. He got a fair way out of his ground and while he was never a winning threat, he did find the line strongly in defeat. If within range, he has the finale to be dangerous.
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1 Swift Ascend (Bet Now:
$SP.00) on top. He is a few weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance in a strong Class 2 and didn’t disgrace himself in defeat at all behind the then in form Raging Blizzard. Back to Class 3 grade, tick over trial was quite good and prior efforts suggested he’ll take beating against these.
Danger
5 Prince Of Porty (Bet Now:
$SP.00) looks to have returned really well and is one of the key chances. He resumed at this track/distance when getting the beaut run in transit just off the speed and under a lovely ride from Poon, he was too good. Good upside to come, he’s in the mix.
Long Shot
2 Glory Elite (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back to 1200m after contesting the Classic Mile where he was outclassed on paper and the 1600m at that level was a bridge too far. Much better suited at 1200m at this level, he’s an improver at odds.
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8 Morgan Success (Bet Now:
$SP.00) will do me each way in the get out. He resumed over 1400m here last Saturday where he got off speed and chased with purpose late in the piece in a pretty good return when fourth to Winning Gold. Second up off a seven day back I find interesting, but off the return, he’s hard to beat.
Danger
11 Everyone’s Star (Bet Now:
$SP.00) should love the rise to 1600m after making his Hong Kong debut over 1400m. He got a mile out of his ground but I really liked the way he finished his race off in defeat when fourth to Patch Of Cosmo. Fitter and up to 1600m, he’ll take beating.
Long Shot
2 The Best Peach (Bet Now:
$SP.00) comes back to the mile after racing over 2000m here on Jan 19 when back near last in the run and failed to get involved when down the track behind Noisy Boy. Like him back in trip and with a more positive ride, he’s dangerous.
BEST BET: Race Four Number 3 Forerunner
NEXT BEST: Race Ten Number 1 Swift Ascend
LONG SHOT: Race Eleven Number 8 Morgan Success
Quaddie Tips (Races Eight Through To Eleven):
Leg One: 1, 2, 7, 8
Leg Two: 5, 7
Leg Three: 1
Leg Four: 2, 6, 7, 8, 11
$50 Investment = 125% of the dividend if successful
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